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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Raynor Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Joliet

Tract 17197881800 · Will County, IL · pop 4,246 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

17197881800 is a census tract in the Raynor Park area of Joliet, IL. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,246. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 34% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,509
Renter share58.8%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate21.1%
Median income$72,284

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Raynor Park
Elevated
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 46 tracts In Joliet
Very High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#31 of 172 tracts In Will County
High
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#1,499 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Joliet and the region

Centroid at 41.5389, -88.0947 · click any tract to drill in

Why Raynor Park scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Joliet
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
21.1% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,304 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Joliet
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Joliet
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Joliet
3.5

How Raynor Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Raynor Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 881800Joliet: 3.83.8Jolietparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Raynor Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Raynor Park

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

SNAP participation runs 27.2% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.7% against 11.3% nationally.

Against the Will County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17197881800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17197881800?

Census tract 17197881800 in the Raynor Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17197881800?

Median gross rent is $1,304/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17197881800?

21.1% of residents in tract 17197881800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,246.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17197881800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 85th, minority 80th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 17197881800 considered part of Raynor Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17197881800 fall within Raynor Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17197881800 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17197881800 compare to Joliet overall?

Tract 17197881800 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Joliet at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Joliet eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17197881800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Joliet

Top eight tracts in Joliet ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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