Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Raynor Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Joliet

Tract 17197881500 · Will County, IL · pop 3,463 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

The Raynor Park neighborhood of Joliet anchors census tract 17197881500, which lands at 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #70,543 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

24% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,605 a month while the average household earns $74,527 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.2

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 14% Owners 81%

Tract context

Occupied units1,194

Renter share18.7%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate12.6%

Median income$74,527

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Joliet and the region

Centroid at 41.5430, -88.1172 · click any tract to drill in

Why Raynor Park scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Joliet

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

12.6% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$1,605 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Joliet

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Joliet

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Joliet

3.5

How Raynor Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

53%Socioeconomic
91%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
37%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

9%Grade A
51%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Raynor Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.2%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
16.5%Food insecurity
14.3%SNAP enrollment
8.4%Transit barriers
13.2%No health insurance
16.8%Frequent mental distress
30.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Raynor Park

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Joliet eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Will County average of 4.9 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17197881500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17197881500?

Census tract 17197881500 in the Raynor Park neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17197881500?

Median gross rent is $1,605/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17197881500?

12.6% of residents in tract 17197881500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,463.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17197881500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 91th, minority 69th, housing 37th.

Is tract 17197881500 considered part of Raynor Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17197881500 fall within Raynor Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17197881500 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17197881500 compare to Joliet overall?

Tract 17197881500 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Joliet at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Joliet eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17197881500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Joliet

Top eight tracts in Joliet ranked by composite eviction-risk score.