Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Raynor Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Joliet

Tract 17197881500 · Will County, IL · pop 3,463 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 17197881500 sits in the Raynor Park area of Joliet eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Population here is 3,463. 24% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Will County average of 40.4%.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 14% Owners 81%

Tract context

Occupied units1,194

Renter share18.7%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate12.6%

Median income$74,527

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Joliet and the region

Centroid at 41.5430, -88.1172 · click any tract to drill in

Why Raynor Park scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Joliet

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

12.6% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$1,605 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Joliet

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Joliet

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Joliet

3.5

How Raynor Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

53%Socioeconomic
91%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
37%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

9%Grade A
51%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Raynor Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.2%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
16.5%Food insecurity
14.3%SNAP enrollment
8.4%Transit barriers
13.2%No health insurance
16.8%Frequent mental distress
30.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Raynor Park

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,605, 26% above the Joliet average. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against the Will County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Joliet eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. Social vulnerability reads 6.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17197881500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17197881500?

Census tract 17197881500 in the Raynor Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17197881500?

Median gross rent is $1,605/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17197881500?

12.6% of residents in tract 17197881500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,463.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17197881500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 91th, minority 69th, housing 37th.

Is tract 17197881500 considered part of Raynor Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17197881500 fall within Raynor Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17197881500 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17197881500 compare to Joliet overall?

Tract 17197881500 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Joliet at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Joliet eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17197881500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Joliet

Top eight tracts in Joliet ranked by composite eviction-risk score.