Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Joliet

Tract 17197881201 · Will County, IL · pop 2,974 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 17197881201 in the Forest Park area of Joliet, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,974. SNAP participation runs 38.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 21% Owners 54%

Tract context

Occupied units859

Renter share45.9%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate16.9%

Median income$62,007

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Joliet and the region

Centroid at 41.5487, -88.0481 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Park scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Joliet

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

16.9% poverty · this tract

4.2

Supply constraint

$1,282 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Joliet

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Joliet

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Joliet

3.5

How Forest Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

84%Socioeconomic
76%Household composition
92%Racial/ethnic minority
23%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
36%Grade C
2%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forest Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

31.0%Housing insecurity
20.2%Utility-shutoff threat
38.8%Food insecurity
38.9%SNAP enrollment
18.2%Transit barriers
21.3%No health insurance
20.2%Frequent mental distress
37.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Park

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Will County average of 40.4%.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.3% against 11.3% nationally.

Against the Will County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,282, close to the Joliet average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $62,007.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17197881201

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17197881201?

Census tract 17197881201 in the Forest Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17197881201?

Median gross rent is $1,282/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17197881201?

16.9% of residents in tract 17197881201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,974.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17197881201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 76th, minority 92th, housing 23th.

Is tract 17197881201 considered part of Forest Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17197881201 fall within Forest Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17197881201 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17197881201 compare to Joliet overall?

Tract 17197881201 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Joliet at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Joliet eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17197881201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Joliet

Top eight tracts in Joliet ranked by composite eviction-risk score.