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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Joliet

Tract 17197881301 · Will County, IL · pop 3,389 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 17197881301, home to 3,389 residents in the Forest Park area of Joliet, scores 5.2/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,310 a month against an average household income of $51,964 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 13% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units975
Renter share30.1%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate24.3%
Median income$51,964

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Forest Park
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 46 tracts In Joliet
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 172 tracts In Will County
Very High
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,200 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Joliet and the region

Centroid at 41.5414, -88.0669 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Park scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Joliet
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
24.3% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,310 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Joliet
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Joliet
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Joliet
3.5

How Forest Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 881301Joliet: 4.14.1Jolietparent cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forest Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Park

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Joliet eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Will County average of 4.9 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 32.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17197881301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17197881301?

Census tract 17197881301 in the Forest Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17197881301?

Median gross rent is $1,310/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17197881301?

24.3% of residents in tract 17197881301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,389.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17197881301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 71th, minority 94th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 17197881301 considered part of Forest Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17197881301 fall within Forest Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17197881301 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17197881301 compare to Joliet overall?

Tract 17197881301 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Joliet at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Joliet eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17197881301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 49% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Joliet

Top eight tracts in Joliet ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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