Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Joliet

Tract 17197881302 · Will County, IL · pop 1,003 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 17197881302 covers the Forest Park area of Joliet in Illinois. Home to 1,003 residents, it scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 26% of US census tracts.

27% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,125 a month while the average household earns $50,156 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 26% Owners 64%

Tract context

Occupied units273

Renter share35.5%

SVI overall0.65

Poverty rate28.3%

Median income$50,156

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Joliet and the region

Centroid at 41.5394, -88.0759 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Park scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Joliet

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

28.3% poverty · this tract

7.1

Supply constraint

$1,125 rent vs county FMR

1.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Joliet

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Joliet

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Joliet

3.5

How Forest Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
56%Household composition
99%Racial/ethnic minority
4%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
11%Grade C
9%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forest Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

31.9%Housing insecurity
18.8%Utility-shutoff threat
40.4%Food insecurity
36.4%SNAP enrollment
18.5%Transit barriers
31.1%No health insurance
19.3%Frequent mental distress
38.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Park

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Joliet eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Will County average of 4.9 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 9% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17197881302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17197881302?

Census tract 17197881302 in the Forest Park neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17197881302?

Median gross rent is $1,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17197881302?

28.3% of residents in tract 17197881302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,003.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17197881302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 56th, minority 99th, housing 4th.

Is tract 17197881302 considered part of Forest Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17197881302 fall within Forest Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17197881302 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17197881302 compare to Joliet overall?

Tract 17197881302 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Joliet at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Joliet eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17197881302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Joliet

Top eight tracts in Joliet ranked by composite eviction-risk score.