Joliet Eviction Risk: Moderate

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $42,356 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.

Housing insecurity runs 29.1% against 14.2% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Will County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.1% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.