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Neighborhood · Joliet, IL

Mayfair Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 10,773 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3–3.5

Mayfair spans 2 census tracts of Joliet, IL and houses 10,773 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. 8% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well under the Joliet rate of 31.3%.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.4/10. The voucher gap is 22.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. On the high side is supply constraint at 7.3/10.

At $1,472 a month, rents sit 15% over what the rest of Joliet commands. The severe-burden share is 8%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Joliet, it ranks #9 by risk, the lower third. At 4% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 14% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.5 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 3.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Mayfair vs Joliet How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
8.4% -73%
Joliet: 31.3%
Average gross rent
$1,472 +15%
Joliet: $1,276
Average HH income
$129,282 +47%
Joliet: $88,026
Poverty rate
4.5% -59%
Joliet: 11.0%
Renter share
4.1% -84%
Joliet: 26.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mayfair and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.5

Why Mayfair scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–5.8 across tracts
5.3
Rent control risk
8% of income on rent · Range 2.0–5.3 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–5.1 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
4% renter households · Range 3.0–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–4.1 across tracts
3.9
Economic stress
4.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.6 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–8.7 across tracts
7.3
Risk score comparison

Mayfair vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mayfair score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Mayfair: 3.33.3MayfairNeighborhoodParent city: 3.83.8Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Mayfair

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17197880421 3.5 6,568 14% $2,414
17197880430 3 4,205
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 7

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 15%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 3%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mayfair

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Mayfair

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mayfair?

Mayfair scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mayfair compare to Joliet overall?

Mayfair scores 0.5 points lower than Joliet overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 8% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,472 vs $1,276.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mayfair?

Average gross rent in Mayfair is $1,472/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 8% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mayfair residents are renters?

4% of Mayfair households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Joliet). The neighborhood has 10,773 residents.
Q5

Is Mayfair a high social-vulnerability area?

Mayfair sits in the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Mayfair have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Mayfair is census tract 17197880421 (score 3.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.5, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Mayfair for landlords?

Mayfair carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Joliet as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Mayfair?

Mayfair has 10,458 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.4%), Hispanic / Latino (19.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mayfair

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Joliet

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mayfair.

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