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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Near West Side Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Bend

Tract 18141002000 · St. Joseph County, IN · pop 1,366 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 18141002000 in the Near West Side area of South Bend, IN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,366 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 42% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units555
Renter share81.4%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate52.7%
Median income$25,114

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Near West Side
Very Low
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#5 of 47 tracts In South Bend
Very High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 82 tracts In St. Joseph County
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#370 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Bend and the region

Centroid at 41.6731, -86.2626 · click any tract to drill in

Why Near West Side scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Bend
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
52.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$533 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Bend
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Bend
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Bend
2.5

How Near West Side compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Near West Side risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0020003.2South Bendparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 83Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 11.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.7%Peak (2015)
  • 83Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 190Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 10.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.25×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Richmond, VA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Near West Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Near West Side

Average gross rent is $533, 48% below the South Bend average. The poverty rate is 53%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 29.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 48.9% against 31.5% nationally. Against St. Joseph County at 41.2%, 48% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Court records carry 83 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Against the St. Joseph County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 11.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for South Bend. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 18141002000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18141002000?

Census tract 18141002000 in the Near West Side neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18141002000?

Median gross rent is $533/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18141002000?

52.7% of residents in tract 18141002000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,366.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18141002000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 81th, minority 75th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 18141002000 considered part of Near West Side?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18141002000 fall within Near West Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 18141002000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 83 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 18141002000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.74% of renter households, peaking at 11.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 18141002000 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.25× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Richmond eviction risk, VA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 18141002000 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 18141002000 compare to South Bend overall?

Tract 18141002000 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of South Bend at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 18141002000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Bend

Top eight tracts in South Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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