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Neighborhood · South Bend, IN

North Shore Triangle Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 5,610 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 3.1–5.4

North Shore Triangle is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in South Bend with 3 census tracts and a population of 5,610 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 44% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,037/month sits 0% higher than the South Bend citywide average ($1,033).

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
North Shore Triangle vs South Bend How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.6% +44%
South Bend: 30.2%
Average gross rent
$1,037 +0%
South Bend: $1,033
Average HH income
$64,664 +23%
South Bend: $52,512
Poverty rate
18.2% -19%
South Bend: 22.6%
Renter share
46.4% +17%
South Bend: 39.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North Shore Triangle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.1–5.4

Why North Shore Triangle scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
46% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
18.2% below poverty line · Range 2.3–8.3 across tracts
4.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–5.5 across tracts
4.4
Risk score comparison

North Shore Triangle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

North Shore Triangle score vs. parent city, state, U.S.North Shore Triang: 4.24.2North Shore TriangNeighborhoodParent city: 2.62.6Parent cityhost cityState: 2.42.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in North Shore Triangle?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.3 points from 3.1 to 5.4. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in North Shore Triangle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
18141000600 5.4 1,959 56% $1,023
18141000700 3.9 1,986 45% $953
18141000800 3.1 1,665 28% $1,155
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 30%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in North Shore Triangle

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 84Total filings (sum)
  • 8.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.6%Peak year (2015)
  • 8.65%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 428Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.9Avg monthly observed
  • 3.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.97×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Richmond, VA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North Shore Triangle

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About North Shore Triangle

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for North Shore Triangle?

North Shore Triangle scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does North Shore Triangle compare to South Bend overall?

North Shore Triangle scores 1.6 points higher than South Bend overall (2.6/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,037 vs $1,033.
Q3

What is the average rent in North Shore Triangle?

Average gross rent in North Shore Triangle is $1,037/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of North Shore Triangle residents are renters?

46% of North Shore Triangle households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in South Bend). The neighborhood has 5,610 residents.
Q5

Is North Shore Triangle a high social-vulnerability area?

North Shore Triangle sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in North Shore Triangle have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in North Shore Triangle is census tract 18141000600 (score 5.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 5.4, a spread of 2.3 points.
Q7

How safe is North Shore Triangle for landlords?

North Shore Triangle carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to South Bend as a whole (2.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of North Shore Triangle?

North Shore Triangle has 5,494 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.6%), Hispanic / Latino (9.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near North Shore Triangle

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside South Bend

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to North Shore Triangle.

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