Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Manville Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Iowa City

Tract 19103001601 · Johnson County, IA · pop 4,484 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 19103001601 in the Manville Heights area of Iowa City, IA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,484. Severe burden reaches 55%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 79% Stable renters 16% Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units1,949
Renter share95.5%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate70.9%
Median income$18,159

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Manville Heights
Elevated
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 19 tracts In Iowa City
High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 36 tracts In Johnson County
High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Iowa City and the region

Centroid at 41.6564, -91.5304 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manville Heights scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Iowa City
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
70.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,056 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Iowa City
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Iowa City
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Iowa City
3.5

How Manville Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Manville Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0016014.0Iowa Cityparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Manville Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manville Heights

Against Johnson County at 49.2%, 83% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 70% of average household income of $18,159, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 71%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 96% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Food insecurity runs 35.2% against 17.8% nationally. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Johnson County average of 4.1. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 19103001601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19103001601?

Census tract 19103001601 in the Manville Heights neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19103001601?

Median gross rent is $1,056/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19103001601?

70.9% of residents in tract 19103001601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,484.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19103001601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 0th, minority 29th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 19103001601 considered part of Manville Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19103001601 fall within Manville Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 19103001601 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19103001601 compare to Iowa City overall?

Tract 19103001601 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Iowa City at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Iowa City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Iowa City

Top eight tracts in Iowa City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related