Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Manville Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Iowa City
Tract 19103001100 · Johnson County, IA · pop 4,375 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 19103001100 in the Manville Heights area of Iowa City, IA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,375. Severe burden reaches 49%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 63%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,759
Renter share87.1%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate60.8%
Median income$30,929
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Iowa City and the region
Centroid at 41.6656, -91.5285 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manville Heights scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Iowa City
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
60.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,144 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Iowa City
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Iowa City
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Iowa City
3.5
How Manville Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 44Total filings over 3 yrs
- 0.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.2%Peak (2005)
- 11Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Manville Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.6%Housing insecurity
- 13.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.8%Food insecurity
- 26.8%SNAP enrollment
- 17.5%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 25.8%Frequent mental distress
- 34.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manville Heights
Cost burden runs 72% here against 49.2% across Johnson County. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
The poverty rate is 61%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $30,929 and the ratio lands at 44%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 87% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Against the Johnson County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. SNAP participation runs 26.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. Food insecurity runs 26.8% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 44 evictions over 3 years of observation.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 19103001100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19103001100?
Census tract 19103001100 in the Manville Heights neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19103001100?
Median gross rent is $1,144/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19103001100?
60.8% of residents in tract 19103001100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,375.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19103001100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 1th, minority 30th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 19103001100 considered part of Manville Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19103001100 fall within Manville Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19103001100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 19103001100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.98% of renter households, peaking at 1.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19103001100 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19103001100 compare to Iowa City overall?
Tract 19103001100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Iowa City at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Iowa City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Iowa City
Top eight tracts in Iowa City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
19103001801
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Manville Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol View
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Walden Hills
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol View
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Manville Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Manville Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19103010401
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Related