Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Manville Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Iowa City

Tract 19103001602 · Johnson County, IA · pop 3,607 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 19103001602 runs through Manville Heights in Iowa City. With 3,607 residents, it scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It lands near the 53rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $838 monthly, set against $39,104 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 83% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 40% Owners 17%

Tract context

Occupied units1,588

Renter share82.9%

SVI overall0.24

Poverty rate49.7%

Median income$39,104

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Iowa City and the region

Centroid at 41.6568, -91.5231 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manville Heights scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Iowa City

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

Iowa legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

49.7% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$838 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Iowa City

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Iowa City

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Iowa City

3.5

How Manville Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

53%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
33%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Manville Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.4%Housing insecurity
12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
24.9%Food insecurity
24.1%SNAP enrollment
16.6%Transit barriers
9.4%No health insurance
25.9%Frequent mental distress
33.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manville Heights

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Iowa City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Johnson County average of 4.7 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19103001602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19103001602?

Census tract 19103001602 in the Manville Heights neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 19103001602?

Median gross rent is $838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 19103001602?

49.7% of residents in tract 19103001602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,607.

How socially vulnerable is tract 19103001602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 1th, minority 33th, housing 59th.

Is tract 19103001602 considered part of Manville Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19103001602 fall within Manville Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 19103001602 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 19103001602 compare to Iowa City overall?

Tract 19103001602 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Iowa City at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Iowa City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Iowa City

Top eight tracts in Iowa City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.