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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Manville Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Iowa City

Tract 19103001602 · Johnson County, IA · pop 3,607 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 19103001602 covers part of the Manville Heights area of Iowa City, IA, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,607 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 40% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,588
Renter share82.9%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate49.7%
Median income$39,104

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Manville Heights
Low
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 19 tracts In Iowa City
Elevated
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 36 tracts In Johnson County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Iowa City and the region

Centroid at 41.6568, -91.5231 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manville Heights scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Iowa City
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
49.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$838 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Iowa City
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Iowa City
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Iowa City
3.5

How Manville Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Manville Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0016024.0Iowa Cityparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Manville Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manville Heights

The poverty rate is 50%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. At $838 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Iowa City commands. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Johnson County average of 4.1. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. SNAP participation runs 24.1% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 24.9% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 3.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 19103001602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19103001602?

Census tract 19103001602 in the Manville Heights neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19103001602?

Median gross rent is $838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19103001602?

49.7% of residents in tract 19103001602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,607.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19103001602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 1th, minority 33th, housing 59th.
Q5

Is tract 19103001602 considered part of Manville Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19103001602 fall within Manville Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 19103001602 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19103001602 compare to Iowa City overall?

Tract 19103001602 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Iowa City at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Iowa City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Iowa City

Top eight tracts in Iowa City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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