Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Manville Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Iowa City

Tract 19103002100 · Johnson County, IA · pop 4,418 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 19103002100 in the Manville Heights area of Iowa City, IA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,418 residents. The severe-burden share is 60%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 76% Stable renters 20% Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units1,034
Renter share95.9%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate77.8%
Median income$22,273

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Manville Heights
Very Low
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 19 tracts In Iowa City
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 36 tracts In Johnson County
High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Iowa City and the region

Centroid at 41.6613, -91.5361 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manville Heights scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Iowa City
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
77.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,226 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Iowa City
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Iowa City
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Iowa City
3.5

How Manville Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Manville Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0021004.0Iowa Cityparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 29Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 1.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.3%Peak (2005)
  • 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 19103002100
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Manville Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manville Heights

Against Johnson County at 49.2%, 79% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 66% of average household income of $22,273, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 78%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 96% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Food insecurity runs 35.3% against 17.8% nationally. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Johnson County average of 4.1.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 29 filings here across 3 tracked years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $1,226 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Iowa City commands. The worst year on record was 2005, when 2.3% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 19103002100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19103002100?

Census tract 19103002100 in the Manville Heights neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19103002100?

Median gross rent is $1,226/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19103002100?

77.8% of residents in tract 19103002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,418.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19103002100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 1th, minority 40th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 19103002100 considered part of Manville Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19103002100 fall within Manville Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19103002100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 19103002100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.42% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19103002100 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19103002100 compare to Iowa City overall?

Tract 19103002100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Iowa City at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Iowa City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Iowa City

Top eight tracts in Iowa City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related