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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Manville Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Iowa City

Tract 19103002100 · Johnson County, IA · pop 4,418 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

For landlords sizing up the Manville Heights area of Iowa City, census tract 19103002100 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #32,662 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 79% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 60% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,226 monthly, set against $22,273 in average yearly household income, roughly 66% of income at the averages. Renters make up 96% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 76% Stable renters 20% Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units1,034
Renter share95.9%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate77.8%
Median income$22,273

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Manville Heights
Elevated
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 19 tracts In Iowa City
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 36 tracts In Johnson County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Iowa City and the region

Centroid at 41.6613, -91.5361 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manville Heights scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Iowa City
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
77.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,226 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Iowa City
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Iowa City
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Iowa City
3.5

How Manville Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Manville Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 002100Iowa City: 2.82.8Iowa Cityparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 29Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 1.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.3%Peak (2005)
  • 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191030021002004: 6 filings (0.99/100 renter HHs)2005: 16 filings (2.29/100 renter HHs)2015: 7 filings (0.97/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Manville Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manville Heights

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Iowa City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Johnson County average of 4.7 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 29 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 1.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.3% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19103002100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19103002100?

Census tract 19103002100 in the Manville Heights neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19103002100?

Median gross rent is $1,226/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19103002100?

77.8% of residents in tract 19103002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,418.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19103002100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 1th, minority 40th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 19103002100 considered part of Manville Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19103002100 fall within Manville Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19103002100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 19103002100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.42% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19103002100 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19103002100 compare to Iowa City overall?

Tract 19103002100 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Iowa City at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Iowa City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Iowa City

Top eight tracts in Iowa City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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