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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Meredith Eviction Risk: Lower , Des Moines

Tract 19153000801 · Polk County, IA · pop 6,561 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 19153000801 (Meredith in Des Moines, Iowa) comes in at 4.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 32% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,109 monthly, set against $76,094 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 23% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,298
Renter share39.5%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$76,094

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Meredith
Very High
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#41 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
Low
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#310 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.6398, -93.6890 · click any tract to drill in

Why Meredith scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,109 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Meredith compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Meredith risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 000801Des Moines: 2.62.6Des Moinesparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 470Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 4.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.5%Peak (2009)
  • 34Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191530008012006: 41 filings (4.20/100 renter HHs)2007: 72 filings (7.38/100 renter HHs)2008: 57 filings (5.84/100 renter HHs)2009: 73 filings (7.48/100 renter HHs)2010: 53 filings (5.20/100 renter HHs)2011: 35 filings (3.50/100 renter HHs)2012: 44 filings (4.40/100 renter HHs)2013: 32 filings (3.20/100 renter HHs)2014: 29 filings (2.90/100 renter HHs)2015: 34 filings (3.40/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Meredith. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Meredith

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153000801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153000801?

Census tract 19153000801 in the Meredith neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153000801?

Median gross rent is $1,109/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153000801?

10.4% of residents in tract 19153000801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,561.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153000801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 68th, minority 55th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 19153000801 considered part of Meredith?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153000801 fall within Meredith (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153000801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 470 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153000801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.75% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153000801 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153000801 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153000801 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19153000801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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