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Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Council Bluffs Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 19155030900 · Pottawattamie County, IA · pop 1,559

In Council Bluffs, census tract 19155030900 scores 5.8/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 68% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $726 a month against an average household income of $22,600 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 92% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 45% Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units998
Renter share91.6%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate27.8%
Median income$22,600

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 22 tracts In Council Bluffs
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 30 tracts In Pottawattamie County
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Very High
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#22,213 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Council Bluffs and the region

Centroid at 41.2591, -95.8515 · click any tract to drill in

Why Council Bluffs scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Council Bluffs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
27.8% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$726 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Council Bluffs
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.8

How Council Bluffs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Council Bluffs risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 030900Council Bluffs: 2.62.6Council Bluffsparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 164Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 4.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.9%Peak (2013)
  • 40Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191550309002011: 33 filings (3.98/100 renter HHs)2012: 34 filings (4.10/100 renter HHs)2013: 57 filings (6.88/100 renter HHs)2014: 40 filings (4.83/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 21% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Council Bluffs

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Council Bluffs eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pottawattamie County average of 4.9 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 164 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 4.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.9% of renter households in 2013.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19155030900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19155030900?

Census tract 19155030900 in Council Bluffs scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19155030900?

Median gross rent is $726/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19155030900?

27.8% of residents in tract 19155030900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,559.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19155030900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 81th, minority 33th, housing 72th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19155030900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 164 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 19155030900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.95% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 19155030900 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19155030900 compare to Council Bluffs overall?

Tract 19155030900 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Council Bluffs at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Council Bluffs eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 19155030900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Council Bluffs

Top eight tracts in Council Bluffs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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