Council Bluffs Eviction Risk: Moderate

Against the Pottawattamie County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Pottawattamie County average of 38.2%. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 97 filings here across 4 tracked years. At $929 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Council Bluffs commands. Filings peaked in 2013 at 12.4% of renter households.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Council Bluffs. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 10.8% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.