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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Council Bluffs Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 19155030200 · Pottawattamie County, IA · pop 3,012

19155030200 is a census tract in Council Bluffs, IA. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,012. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 27% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,338
Renter share48.8%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate18.7%
Median income$41,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 22 tracts In Council Bluffs
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 30 tracts In Pottawattamie County
High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Council Bluffs and the region

Centroid at 41.2736, -95.8550 · click any tract to drill in

Why Council Bluffs scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Council Bluffs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
18.7% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$932 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Council Bluffs
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.8

How Council Bluffs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Council Bluffs risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0302004.0Council Bluffsparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 175Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 6.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2013)
  • 48Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 19155030200
Filings climbed 41% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Council Bluffs

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.9/10. Against the Pottawattamie County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Pottawattamie County average of 38.2%. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 175 filings here across 4 tracked years. At $932 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Council Bluffs commands.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 7.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Council Bluffs. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.9/10.

Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 19155030200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19155030200?

Census tract 19155030200 in Council Bluffs scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19155030200?

Median gross rent is $932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19155030200?

18.7% of residents in tract 19155030200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,012.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19155030200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 73th, minority 38th, housing 75th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19155030200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 175 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 19155030200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.50% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 19155030200 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19155030200 compare to Council Bluffs overall?

Tract 19155030200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Council Bluffs at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Council Bluffs eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 19155030200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Council Bluffs

Top eight tracts in Council Bluffs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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