Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Council Bluffs Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 19155031100 · Pottawattamie County, IA · pop 2,590
For landlords sizing up Council Bluffs, census tract 19155031100 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
88% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is about $953 a month. About 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,099
Renter share26.8%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate22.8%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Council Bluffs and the region
Centroid at 41.2638, -95.8313 · click any tract to drill in
Why Council Bluffs scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Council Bluffs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
22.8% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$953 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Council Bluffs
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.8
How Council Bluffs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 22%Grade A
- 56%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 128Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.8%Peak (2013)
- 28Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.3%Food insecurity
- 14.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 32.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Council Bluffs
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Council Bluffs eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pottawattamie County average of 4.9 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 19155031100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19155031100?
Census tract 19155031100 in Council Bluffs scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19155031100?
Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 88% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19155031100?
22.8% of residents in tract 19155031100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,590.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19155031100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 52th, minority 21th, housing 70th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19155031100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 128 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 19155031100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.49% of renter households, peaking at 13.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 19155031100 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 19155031100 compare to Council Bluffs overall?
Tract 19155031100 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Council Bluffs at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Council Bluffs eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 19155031100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Council Bluffs
Top eight tracts in Council Bluffs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
19155030900
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030700
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
NoDo
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155031300
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030200
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030502
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030602
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030100
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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