Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally
Elk Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Bel Aire
Tract 20173010111 · Sedgwick County, KS · pop 8,001 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 20173010111 belongs to the Elk Creek area of Bel Aire, Kansas. It is home to 8,001 residents and scores 5.4/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 53rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,660 a month against an average household income of $94,583 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,856
Renter share17.4%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate12.1%
Median income$94,583
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bel Aire and the region
Centroid at 37.7679, -97.2639 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elk Creek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bel Aire
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Kansas legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
12.1% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,660 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bel Aire
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bel Aire
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bel Aire
6.7
How Elk Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elk Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.7%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elk Creek
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bel Aire eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Sedgwick County average of 4.2 and above the Kansas statewide average of 4.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 20173010111
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 20173010111?
Census tract 20173010111 in the Elk Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 20173010111?
Median gross rent is $1,660/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 20173010111?
12.1% of residents in tract 20173010111 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,001.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 20173010111?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 38th, minority 49th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 20173010111 considered part of Elk Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 20173010111 fall within Elk Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 20173010111 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 20173010111 compare to Bel Aire overall?
Tract 20173010111 scores 3/10, higher than the parent city of Bel Aire at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bel Aire eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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