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Neighborhood · Ashland, KY

South Ashland Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 16,107 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4–5.4

South Ashland is a 5-tract suburb of Ashland, KY, population 16,107. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, in the Moderate tier. 44% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Ashland rate of 29.2%.

22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. The poverty rate is 25%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.1/10. Scores across the 5 constituent tracts range from 4 to 5.4. A 1.4-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.2/10.

Average gross rent runs $870, close to the Ashland average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $48,651. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
South Ashland vs Ashland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.8% +50%
Ashland: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$870 0%
Ashland: $872
Average HH income
$48,651 -7%
Ashland: $52,199
Poverty rate
25.2% +10%
Ashland: 22.8%
Renter share
40.0% +1%
Ashland: 39.6%
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Ashland and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 4–5.4

Why South Ashland scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Economic stress
25.2% below poverty line · Range 4.4–9.7 across tracts
6.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–6.0 across tracts
4.0
Risk score comparison

South Ashland vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Ashland score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7South AshlandNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in South Ashland?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.4 points from 4 to 5.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in South Ashland

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
21019030800 5.4 4,155 50% $657
21019030300 5.4 1,950 45% $1,067
21019030700 4.9 2,820 43% $932
21019030400 4.3 2,384 48% $738
21019030500 4 4,798 37% $1,004
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 62

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 75%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 17%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 49%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About South Ashland

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Ashland?

South Ashland scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Ashland compare to Ashland overall?

South Ashland scores 0.7 points higher than Ashland overall (4/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $870 vs $872.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Ashland?

Average gross rent in South Ashland eviction risk is $870/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Ashland residents are renters?

40% of South Ashland households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Ashland). The neighborhood has 16,107 residents.
Q5

Is South Ashland a high social-vulnerability area?

South Ashland sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Ashland have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Ashland is census tract 21019030800 (score 5.4/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 5.4, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is South Ashland for landlords?

South Ashland eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ashland as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Ashland?

South Ashland has 16,104 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (90.2%), Other / Multiracial (4.6%), Hispanic / Latino (2.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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