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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

South Ashland Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21019030400 · Boyd County, KY · pop 2,384 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 21019030400 (the South Ashland neighborhood of Ashland, Kentucky) comes in at 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 50% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $738 a month while the average household earns $53,068 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 17% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units869
Renter share32.3%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$53,068

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In South Ashland
Low
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Ashland
Moderate
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 15 tracts In Boyd County
Elevated
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#468 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ashland and the region

Centroid at 38.4538, -82.6152 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Ashland scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ashland
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$738 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashland
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashland
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashland
7.2

How South Ashland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Ashland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 030400Ashland: 2.72.7Ashlandparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Ashland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Ashland

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ashland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Boyd County average of 4.8 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21019030400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21019030400?

Census tract 21019030400 in the South Ashland neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21019030400?

Median gross rent is $738/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21019030400?

17.5% of residents in tract 21019030400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,384.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21019030400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 78th, minority 25th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 21019030400 considered part of South Ashland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21019030400 fall within South Ashland (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 21019030400 compare to Ashland overall?

Tract 21019030400 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Ashland at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ashland

Top eight tracts in Ashland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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