Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

South Ashland Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21019030300 · Boyd County, KY · pop 1,950 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.7/10 for census tract 21019030300 reflects conditions in the South Ashland area of Ashland, Kentucky. It lands near the 65th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,067 monthly, set against $42,201 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 32% Owners 42%

Tract context

Occupied units831

Renter share58.7%

SVI overall0.79

Poverty rate29.3%

Median income$42,201

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ashland and the region

Centroid at 38.4709, -82.6344 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Ashland scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Ashland

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.3

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

29.3% poverty · this tract

7.3

Supply constraint

$1,067 rent vs county FMR

6.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Ashland

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Ashland

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Ashland

7.2

How South Ashland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
65%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Ashland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Ashland

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ashland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Boyd County average of 4.8 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21019030300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21019030300?

Census tract 21019030300 in the South Ashland neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21019030300?

Median gross rent is $1,067/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21019030300?

29.3% of residents in tract 21019030300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,950.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21019030300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 65th, minority 25th, housing 88th.

Is tract 21019030300 considered part of South Ashland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21019030300 fall within South Ashland (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 21019030300 compare to Ashland overall?

Tract 21019030300 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Ashland at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ashland

Top eight tracts in Ashland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.