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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

South Ashland Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21019030300 · Boyd County, KY · pop 1,950 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 21019030300 covers part of the South Ashland area of Ashland, KY, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,950 residents. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 32% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units831
Renter share58.7%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate29.3%
Median income$42,201

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In South Ashland
Very High
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Ashland
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 15 tracts In Boyd County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ashland and the region

Centroid at 38.4709, -82.6344 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Ashland scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ashland
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
29.3% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$1,067 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashland
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashland
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashland
7.2

How South Ashland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Ashland risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0303004.0Ashlandparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Ashland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Ashland

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Boyd County average of 36.2%. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10.

Against the Boyd County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Average gross rent is $1,067, 22% above the Ashland average. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10.

Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $42,201.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 21019030300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21019030300?

Census tract 21019030300 in the South Ashland neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21019030300?

Median gross rent is $1,067/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21019030300?

29.3% of residents in tract 21019030300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,950.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21019030300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 65th, minority 25th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 21019030300 considered part of South Ashland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21019030300 fall within South Ashland (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 21019030300 compare to Ashland overall?

Tract 21019030300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Ashland at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ashland

Top eight tracts in Ashland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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