Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
South Ashland Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21019030800 · Boyd County, KY · pop 4,155 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
21019030800 is a census tract in the South Ashland area of Ashland, KY. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,155. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.7/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,908
Renter share56.8%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate38.7%
Median income$30,952
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ashland and the region
Centroid at 38.4654, -82.6667 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Ashland scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ashland
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
38.7% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$657 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashland
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashland
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashland
7.2
How South Ashland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Ashland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Ashland
Cost burden runs 50% here against 36.2% across Boyd County. The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. At $657 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Ashland commands. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Against the Boyd County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $30,952. 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 21019030800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21019030800?
Census tract 21019030800 in the South Ashland neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21019030800?
Median gross rent is $657/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21019030800?
38.7% of residents in tract 21019030800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,155.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21019030800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 88th, minority 15th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 21019030800 considered part of South Ashland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21019030800 fall within South Ashland (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 21019030800 compare to Ashland overall?
Tract 21019030800 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Ashland at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ashland
Top eight tracts in Ashland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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