Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
South Ashland Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21019030400 · Boyd County, KY · pop 2,384 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Census tract 21019030400 covers part of the South Ashland area of Ashland, KY, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,384. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units869
Renter share32.3%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$53,068
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ashland and the region
Centroid at 38.4538, -82.6152 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Ashland scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ashland
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$738 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashland
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashland
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashland
7.2
How South Ashland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Ashland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Ashland
Against Boyd County at 36.2%, 48% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. Average gross rent is $738, 15% below the Ashland average. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $53,068, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Boyd County average of 4.0 closely. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 21019030400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21019030400?
Census tract 21019030400 in the South Ashland neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21019030400?
Median gross rent is $738/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21019030400?
17.5% of residents in tract 21019030400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,384.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21019030400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 78th, minority 25th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 21019030400 considered part of South Ashland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21019030400 fall within South Ashland (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 21019030400 compare to Ashland overall?
Tract 21019030400 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Ashland at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ashland
Top eight tracts in Ashland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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