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Neighborhood · Covington, KY

Mainstrasse Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 9,441 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 3.6–5.2

Mainstrasse Village is a 4-tract neighborhood of Covington, KY and houses 9,441 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, Moderate tier. 44% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Covington rate of 29.6%.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. This is a renter market: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.6 to 5.2, a 1.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. 17% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Covington, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,050, close to the Covington average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $61,612.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Mainstrasse Village vs Covington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.8% +48%
Covington: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$1,050 +4%
Covington: $1,006
Average HH income
$61,612 +5%
Covington: $58,814
Poverty rate
20.3% -7%
Covington: 21.8%
Renter share
66.7% +38%
Covington: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mainstrasse Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.6–5.2

Why Mainstrasse Village scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
67% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
20.3% below poverty line · Range 2.0–7.3 across tracts
5.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–4.2 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Mainstrasse Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mainstrasse Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7Mainstrasse VillagNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Mainstrasse Village?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.6 points from 3.6 to 5.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Mainstrasse Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
21117067000 5.2 3,702 49% $1,152
21117067100 5.2 2,770 45% $953
21117060300 3.8 1,640 46% $1,178
21117060700 3.6 1,329 25% $809
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 45%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 44%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 79%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Mainstrasse Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mainstrasse Village?

Mainstrasse Village scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mainstrasse Village compare to Covington overall?

Mainstrasse Village scores 0.9 points higher than Covington overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,050 vs $1,006.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mainstrasse Village?

Average gross rent in Mainstrasse Village is $1,050/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mainstrasse Village residents are renters?

67% of Mainstrasse Village households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Covington). The neighborhood has 9,441 residents.
Q5

Is Mainstrasse Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Mainstrasse Village sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Mainstrasse Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Mainstrasse Village is census tract 21117067000 (score 5.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 5.2, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Mainstrasse Village for landlords?

Mainstrasse Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Covington as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Mainstrasse Village?

Mainstrasse Village has 9,412 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.9%), Hispanic / Latino (8.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mainstrasse Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Covington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mainstrasse Village.

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