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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Mainstrasse Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Covington

Tract 21117060700 · Kenton County, KY · pop 1,329 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 3.6/10, tract 21117060700 in the Mainstrasse Village area of Covington, KY reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 43% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units816
Renter share57.2%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$87,883

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Mainstrasse Village
Very Low
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 15 tracts In Covington
Very Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 44 tracts In Kenton County
Moderate
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#732 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Covington and the region

Centroid at 39.0782, -84.5153 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mainstrasse Village scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Covington
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$809 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Covington
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Covington
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Covington
4.0

How Mainstrasse Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mainstrasse Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 0607003.8Covingtonparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mainstrasse Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mainstrasse Village

25% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Kenton County average of 37.9%. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10.

Average gross rent is $809, 20% below the Covington average. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Covington. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $87,883, annual rent is just 11%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Kenton County average of 3.8 closely.

57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 21117060700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21117060700?

Census tract 21117060700 in the Mainstrasse Village neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21117060700?

Median gross rent is $809/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21117060700?

10.7% of residents in tract 21117060700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,329.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21117060700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 38th, minority 26th, housing 22th.
Q5

Is tract 21117060700 considered part of Mainstrasse Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21117060700 fall within Mainstrasse Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 21117060700 compare to Covington overall?

Tract 21117060700 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Covington at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Covington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21117060700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Covington

Top eight tracts in Covington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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