Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Mainstrasse Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Covington

Tract 21117067100 · Kenton County, KY · pop 2,770 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

21117067100 is a census tract in the Mainstrasse Village area of Covington, KY. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,770. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 36% Owners 35%

Tract context

Occupied units944

Renter share65.1%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate29.1%

Median income$37,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Covington and the region

Centroid at 39.0775, -84.5040 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mainstrasse Village scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Covington

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

29.1% poverty · this tract

7.3

Supply constraint

$953 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Covington

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Covington

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Covington

4.0

How Mainstrasse Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
84%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
47%Grade C
33%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mainstrasse Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mainstrasse Village

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 1.4 points above the Kenton County average of 3.8. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10.

Against Kenton County at 37.9%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Covington. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $953, close to the Covington average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 21117067100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21117067100?

Census tract 21117067100 in the Mainstrasse Village neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21117067100?

Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21117067100?

29.1% of residents in tract 21117067100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,770.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21117067100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 93th, minority 77th, housing 84th.

Is tract 21117067100 considered part of Mainstrasse Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21117067100 fall within Mainstrasse Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 21117067100 compare to Covington overall?

Tract 21117067100 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Covington at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Covington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 21117067100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 33% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Covington

Top eight tracts in Covington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.