9 census tracts · pop 19,478 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10
· range 4.3–5.9
New Auburn spans 9 census tracts of Lewiston, ME, population 19,478. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Lewiston baseline of 30.9%, 42% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
This is a renter market: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 20.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
The poverty rate is 26%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The 9 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4.3 to 5.9, a 1.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.
Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 23.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Average gross rent runs $937, close to the Lewiston average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $47,488.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
9 tracts · population-weighted
New Auburn vs LewistonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in New Auburn
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
22.9%Housing insecurity
19.6%Utility shutoff threat
27.7%Food insecurity
38.2%SNAP enrollment
13.9%No health insurance
41.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About New Auburn
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for New Auburn?
New Auburn scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does New Auburn compare to Lewiston overall?
New Auburn scores 1.0 points higher than Lewiston overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $937 vs $986.
Q3
What is the average rent in New Auburn?
Average gross rent in New Auburn eviction risk is $937/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of New Auburn residents are renters?
73% of New Auburn households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Lewiston). The neighborhood has 19,478 residents.
Q5
Is New Auburn a high social-vulnerability area?
New Auburn sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in New Auburn have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in New Auburn is census tract 23001010500 (score 5.9/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.3 to 5.9, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7
How safe is New Auburn for landlords?
New Auburn eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lewiston as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of New Auburn?
New Auburn has 20,380 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.3%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
