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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

New Auburn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lewiston

Tract 23001020402 · Androscoggin County, ME · pop 1,457 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

23001020402 is a census tract in the New Auburn area of Lewiston, ME. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,457 residents. Severe burden reaches 47%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 31% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units891
Renter share73.3%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate35.4%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 9 tracts In New Auburn
Low
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 13 tracts In Lewiston
High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 32 tracts In Androscoggin County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 401 tracts In Maine
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lewiston and the region

Centroid at 44.0892, -70.2079 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Auburn scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lewiston
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
35.4% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$765 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lewiston
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lewiston
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lewiston
5.0

How New Auburn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Auburn risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0204024.3Lewistonparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within New Auburn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Auburn

58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Androscoggin County average of 41.2%. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.8/10. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Disability prevalence runs 44.3% against 31.5% nationally.

At $765 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Lewiston commands. It sits 1.3 points above the Androscoggin County average of 4.4.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 23001020402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23001020402?

Census tract 23001020402 in the New Auburn neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 23001020402?

Median gross rent is $765/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 23001020402?

35.4% of residents in tract 23001020402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,457.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 23001020402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 96th, minority 54th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 23001020402 considered part of New Auburn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23001020402 fall within New Auburn (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 23001020402 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 23001020402 compare to Lewiston overall?

Tract 23001020402 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lewiston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lewiston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lewiston

Top eight tracts in Lewiston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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