Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

New Auburn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lewiston

Tract 23001020401 · Androscoggin County, ME · pop 2,444 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 23001020401 in the New Auburn area of Lewiston, ME reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,444 residents. Food insecurity runs 52.8% against 17.8% nationally.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 62% Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units745
Renter share91.7%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate37.4%
Median income$45,394

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 9 tracts In New Auburn
Low
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 13 tracts In Lewiston
Very High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#7 of 32 tracts In Androscoggin County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 401 tracts In Maine
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lewiston and the region

Centroid at 44.0935, -70.2099 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Auburn scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lewiston
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
37.4% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$1,018 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lewiston
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lewiston
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lewiston
5.0

How New Auburn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Auburn risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0204014.3Lewistonparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within New Auburn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Auburn

SNAP participation runs 69.4% against 15.2% nationally. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.3/10. 92% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Cost burden runs 33% here against 41.2% across Androscoggin County. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Against the Androscoggin County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Running cool, supply constraint reads 3/10. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 23001020401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23001020401?

Census tract 23001020401 in the New Auburn neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 23001020401?

Median gross rent is $1,018/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 23001020401?

37.4% of residents in tract 23001020401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,444.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 23001020401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 95th, minority 80th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 23001020401 considered part of New Auburn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23001020401 fall within New Auburn (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 23001020401 struggle to pay rent?

About 42.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 38.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 23001020401 compare to Lewiston overall?

Tract 23001020401 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lewiston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lewiston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lewiston

Top eight tracts in Lewiston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related