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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

North Deering Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland

Tract 23005002101 · Cumberland County, ME · pop 6,217 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

23005002101 is a census tract in the North Deering area of Portland, ME. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,217. Against Cumberland County at 38.5%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 8% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,470
Renter share18.4%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$115,644

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In North Deering
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 20 tracts In Portland
Very Low
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#30 of 80 tracts In Cumberland County
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#75 of 401 tracts In Maine
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 43.7067, -70.2861 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Deering scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,198 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
5.5

How North Deering compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Deering risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0021016.2Portlandparent city5.0Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Deering. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Deering

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10.

At $1,198 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Portland commands. Food insecurity runs 7.0% against 17.8% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $115,644, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Cumberland County average of 5.0 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 23005002101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23005002101?

Census tract 23005002101 in the North Deering neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 23005002101?

Median gross rent is $1,198/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 23005002101?

5.5% of residents in tract 23005002101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,217.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 23005002101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 36th, minority 33th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 23005002101 considered part of North Deering?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23005002101 fall within North Deering (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 23005002101 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 23005002101 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 23005002101 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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