Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Bay View Eviction Risk: Lower , Saco
Tract 23031005400 · York County, ME · pop 2,848 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 4.7/10 for census tract 23031005400 reflects conditions in the Bay View area of Saco, Maine. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,618 monthly, set against $131,429 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,154
Renter share12.9%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$131,429
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
2
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Saco and the region
Centroid at 43.4808, -70.3925 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay View scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Saco
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,618 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Saco
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Saco
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Saco
4.9
How Bay View compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 1%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.8%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay View
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Saco eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the York County average of 4.8 and in line with the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 23031005400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23031005400?
Census tract 23031005400 in the Bay View neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23031005400?
Median gross rent is $1,618/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23031005400?
4.4% of residents in tract 23031005400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,848.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23031005400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 41th, minority 1th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 23031005400 considered part of Bay View?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23031005400 fall within Bay View (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23031005400 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23031005400 compare to Saco overall?
Tract 23031005400 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Saco at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Saco
Top eight tracts in Saco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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