Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

Carrollton Ridge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

Tract 24510200300 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,025 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

24510200300 is a census tract in the Carrollton Ridge area of Baltimore, MD. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,025 residents. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

7.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 15% Owners 41%

Tract context

Occupied units381

Renter share58.8%

SVI overall0.84

Poverty rate32.8%

Median income$48,344

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.2840, -76.6482 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carrollton Ridge scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Baltimore

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.8

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

32.8% poverty · this tract

8.2

Supply constraint

$1,241 rent vs county FMR

1.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Baltimore

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Baltimore

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Baltimore

6.0

How Carrollton Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
44%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
90%Grade C
3%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

35.4%Housing insecurity
25.6%Utility-shutoff threat
45.1%Food insecurity
47.8%SNAP enrollment
22.1%Transit barriers
15.4%No health insurance
23.7%Frequent mental distress
44.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carrollton Ridge

75% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Baltimore City average of 50.2%. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10.

Food insecurity runs 45.1% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 47.8% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.8/10.

The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Baltimore City average of 6.8.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510200300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510200300?

Census tract 24510200300 in the Carrollton Ridge neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24510200300?

Median gross rent is $1,241/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510200300?

32.8% of residents in tract 24510200300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,025.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510200300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 81th, minority 79th, housing 44th.

Is tract 24510200300 considered part of Carrollton Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510200300 fall within Carrollton Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24510200300 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24510200300 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510200300 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 24510200300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.