Saint Helena Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. Food insecurity runs 29.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 24.8% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,203 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Baltimore commands.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #13,349 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.