Neighborhood · Dundalk, MD

Manchester Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,227 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10 · range 6.3–6.3

Manchester is a diverse neighborhood in Dundalk with 1 census tract and a population of 3,227 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 83% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 64% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,313/month sits 11% lower than the Dundalk citywide average ($1,473).

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

1 tracts · population-weighted

Manchester vs Dundalk How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

82.9% +131%

Dundalk: 35.9%

Average gross rent

$1,313 -11%

Dundalk: $1,473

Average HH income

$40,875 -34%

Dundalk: $62,349

Poverty rate

22.9% +19%

Dundalk: 19.3%

Renter share

49.1% +39%

Dundalk: 35.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.3–6.3

Why Manchester scores 6.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts

8.9

Rent control risk

83% of income on rent · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

49% renter households · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Economic stress

22.9% below poverty line · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Risk score comparison

Manchester vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Manchester

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24005420701	6.3	3,227	83%	$1,313

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 88

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 100%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 52%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Manchester

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

24.7%Housing insecurity
16.3%Utility shutoff threat
34.1%Food insecurity
32.1%SNAP enrollment
18.0%No health insurance
39.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Manchester

What is the eviction-risk score for Manchester?

Manchester scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Manchester compare to Dundalk overall?

Manchester scores 0.2 points lower than Dundalk overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 83% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,313 vs $1,473.

What is the average rent in Manchester?

Average gross rent in Manchester is $1,313/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Manchester residents are renters?

49% of Manchester households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Dundalk). The neighborhood has 3,227 residents.

Is Manchester a high social-vulnerability area?

Manchester sits in the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Manchester for landlords?

Manchester carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dundalk as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Manchester?

Manchester has 2,921 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.8%), Hispanic / Latino (19.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Manchester

4.9 Eastfield 2 tracts · pop 6,182 6.6 Saint Helena 2 tracts · pop 5,840 5.2 Gray Haven 2 tracts · pop 3,580 5.4 Chesterwood 2 tracts · pop 10,734 5.3 Battle Grove 2 tracts · pop 7,814 2.9 Kenwood 4 tracts · pop 13,465

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dundalk

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Manchester.

6.3 Sparrows Point 1 tracts · pop 3,002 6.5 Saint Helena 2 tracts · pop 5,840 5.9 Turner Station 1 tracts · pop 2,621 6.7 Defense Heights 1 tracts · pop 2,803 5.8 Chesterwood 2 tracts · pop 10,734 5.7 Graceland 1 tracts · pop 2,548

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