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Neighborhood · Dundalk, MD

Gray Haven Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 3,580 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 6.3–7.8

Gray Haven spans 2 census tracts of Dundalk, MD, population 3,580. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.3/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Against a Dundalk baseline of 35.9%, 48% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 31%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.4/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 8.1/10. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 6.3 to 7.8. A 1.5-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. Among the 16 mapped neighborhoods of Dundalk, it ranks #13 by risk, the lower third.

Average gross rent runs $1,451, close to the Dundalk average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $76,118.

32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Gray Haven vs Dundalk How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.3% +35%
Dundalk: 35.9%
Average gross rent
$1,451 -1%
Dundalk: $1,473
Average HH income
$76,118 +22%
Dundalk: $62,349
Poverty rate
20.8% +8%
Dundalk: 19.3%
Renter share
32.2% -9%
Dundalk: 35.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gray Haven and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.3–7.8

Why Gray Haven scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Economic stress
20.8% below poverty line · Range 2.8–6.3 across tracts
5.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–3.1 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Gray Haven vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Gray Haven score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.3Gray HavenNeighborhood6.4Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Gray Haven

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24005420302 7.8 2,422 49% $1,381
24005420303 6.3 1,158 46% $1,598
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 48

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 66%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 67%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 18%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gray Haven

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Gray Haven

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Gray Haven?

Gray Haven scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Gray Haven compare to Dundalk overall?

Gray Haven scores 0.9 points higher than Dundalk overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,451 vs $1,473.
Q3

What is the average rent in Gray Haven?

Average gross rent in Gray Haven is $1,451/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Gray Haven residents are renters?

32% of Gray Haven households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Dundalk). The neighborhood has 3,580 residents.
Q5

Is Gray Haven a high social-vulnerability area?

Gray Haven sits in the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Gray Haven have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Gray Haven is census tract 24005420302 (score 7.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.3 to 7.8, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Gray Haven for landlords?

Gray Haven carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dundalk as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Gray Haven?

Gray Haven has 3,567 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.8%), Hispanic / Latino (7.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gray Haven

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dundalk

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Gray Haven.

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