Neighborhood · Ranked #4,256 of 84,120 nationally

Willow Glen Eviction Risk: High , Lochearn

Tract 24005402305 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 2,542 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Eviction risk in the Willow Glen area of Lochearn centers on tract 24005402305, which scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,542 residents. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 80% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,305 a month against an average household income of $49,170 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 67% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

9.2

High

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 13% Owners 33%

Tract context

Occupied units1,067

Renter share66.6%

SVI overall0.72

Poverty rate11.7%

Median income$49,170

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lochearn and the region

Centroid at 39.3678, -76.7429 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willow Glen scores 9.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lochearn

8.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

11.7% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,305 rent vs county FMR

1.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lochearn

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lochearn

6.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lochearn

6.5

How Willow Glen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

66%Socioeconomic
51%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
67%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
16%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Willow Glen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.3%Housing insecurity
13.1%Utility-shutoff threat
22.2%Food insecurity
18.7%SNAP enrollment
11.0%Transit barriers
8.1%No health insurance
16.9%Frequent mental distress
26.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willow Glen

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lochearn eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005402305

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005402305?

Census tract 24005402305 in the Willow Glen neighborhood scores 9.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24005402305?

Median gross rent is $1,305/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005402305?

11.7% of residents in tract 24005402305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,542.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005402305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 51th, minority 90th, housing 67th.

Is tract 24005402305 considered part of Willow Glen?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005402305 fall within Willow Glen (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24005402305 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24005402305 compare to Lochearn overall?

Tract 24005402305 scores 9.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lochearn at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lochearn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 24005402305 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lochearn

Top eight tracts in Lochearn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.