3 census tracts · pop 11,030 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10
· range 5.1–7.2
Willow Glen takes in 3 census tracts of Lochearn, MD and houses 11,030 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.7/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 61% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Lochearn rate of 34.1%.
Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.1 to 7.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.2/10.
Running cool is economic stress, at 2.1/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10.
At $1,683 a month, rents sit 15% over what the rest of Lochearn commands. That places it #4 of 5 neighborhoods in Lochearn. The closest comparables inside the same city are Seton Business Park and West Glen.
Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $69,937.
61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Willow Glen vs LochearnHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority89%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Willow Glen
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
21.8%Housing insecurity
13.9%Utility shutoff threat
24.2%Food insecurity
20.4%SNAP enrollment
9.2%No health insurance
28.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Willow Glen
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Willow Glen?
Willow Glen scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Willow Glen compare to Lochearn overall?
Willow Glen scores 0.8 points higher than Lochearn overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,683 vs $1,460.
Q3
What is the average rent in Willow Glen?
Average gross rent in Willow Glen is $1,683/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Willow Glen residents are renters?
61% of Willow Glen households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Lochearn). The neighborhood has 11,030 residents.
Q5
Is Willow Glen a high social-vulnerability area?
Willow Glen sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Willow Glen have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Willow Glen is census tract 24005402307 (score 7.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.1 to 7.2, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Willow Glen for landlords?
Willow Glen carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lochearn as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Willow Glen?
Willow Glen has 11,666 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (76%), Hispanic / Latino (11.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
