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Neighborhood · Lochearn, MD

Willow Glen Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 11,030 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.8/10 · range 8-9.2

Willow Glen is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Lochearn with 3 census tracts and a population of 11,030 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 8.8/10 (High tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,683/month sits 15% higher than the Lochearn citywide average ($1,460).

Risk score
8.8
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Willow Glen vs Lochearn How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.5% +77%
Lochearn: 34.1%
Average gross rent
$1,683 +15%
Lochearn: $1,460
Average HH income
$69,937 -8%
Lochearn: $76,256
Poverty rate
8.6% -6%
Lochearn: 9.1%
Renter share
60.6% +72%
Lochearn: 35.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Willow Glen and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 8-9.2

Why Willow Glen scores 8.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7-5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4-6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.9-8.9 across tracts
8.9
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 6.9-8.1 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0-5.6 across tracts
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
61% renter households · Range 6.8-9.4 across tracts
8.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.4-6.5 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
8.6% below poverty line · Range 1.2-2.9 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6-8.2 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Willow Glen vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Willow Glen score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Willow Glen: 8.88.8Willow GlenNeighborhoodParent city: 8.28.2Parent cityhost cityState: 7.87.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Willow Glen?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 8 to 9.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Willow Glen

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24005402305 9.2 2,542 80% $1,305
24005402307 9 6,077 55% $1,480
24005403100 8 2,411 54% $2,591
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 71%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 62%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 89%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Willow Glen

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Willow Glen

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Willow Glen?

Willow Glen scores 8.8/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Willow Glen compare to Lochearn overall?

Willow Glen scores 0.6 points higher than Lochearn overall (8.2/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,683 vs $1,460.

Q3

What is the average rent in Willow Glen?

Average gross rent in Willow Glen is $1,683/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Willow Glen residents are renters?

61% of Willow Glen households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Lochearn). The neighborhood has 11,030 residents.

Q5

Is Willow Glen a high social-vulnerability area?

Willow Glen sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Willow Glen have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Willow Glen is census tract 24005402305 (score 9.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8 to 9.2, a spread of 1.2 points.

Q7

How safe is Willow Glen for landlords?

Willow Glen carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lochearn as a whole (8.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Willow Glen?

Willow Glen has 11,666 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (76%), Hispanic / Latino (11.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Willow Glen

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lochearn

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Willow Glen.

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