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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Willow Glen Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lochearn

Tract 24005403100 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 2,411 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 24005403100 sits in the Willow Glen area of Lochearn eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Population here is 2,411. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 12% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units801
Renter share25.6%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$103,015

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Willow Glen
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Lochearn
Very Low
Within county
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#150 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Low
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#848 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lochearn and the region

Centroid at 39.3531, -76.7333 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willow Glen scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lochearn
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,591 rent vs county FMR
8.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lochearn
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lochearn
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lochearn
6.5

How Willow Glen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Willow Glen risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 4031005.9Lochearnparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Willow Glen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willow Glen

Average gross rent is $2,591, 77% above the Lochearn average. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The voucher gap is 31.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.2/10. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Baltimore County average of 46.8%.

It sits 0.6 points below the Baltimore County average of 5.7. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005403100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005403100?

Census tract 24005403100 in the Willow Glen neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005403100?

Median gross rent is $2,591/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005403100?

4.6% of residents in tract 24005403100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,411.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005403100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 80th, minority 84th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 24005403100 considered part of Willow Glen?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005403100 fall within Willow Glen (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005403100 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005403100 compare to Lochearn overall?

Tract 24005403100 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lochearn at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lochearn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24005403100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lochearn

Top eight tracts in Lochearn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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