Green Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated

The poverty rate is 45%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Average gross rent is $809, 41% below the Aberdeen average of $1,363. 44% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Aberdeen rate of 31.6%.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1/10. 22.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 29.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Aberdeen, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Krouseland and Robin Hood Manor.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $36,308.

One tract means one number: 7.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.