Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally
Green Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated , Aberdeen
Tract 24025302901 · Harford County, MD · pop 2,667 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
The Green Valley area of Aberdeen anchors census tract 24025302901, which lands at 7.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 98% of US census tracts.
About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $809 a month against an average household income of $36,308 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units984
Renter share51.9%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate44.9%
Median income$36,308
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aberdeen and the region
Centroid at 39.5101, -76.1479 · click any tract to drill in
Why Green Valley scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aberdeen
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
44.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$809 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aberdeen
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aberdeen
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aberdeen
7.0
How Green Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.2%Housing insecurity
- 22.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.6%Food insecurity
- 40.9%SNAP enrollment
- 19.5%Transit barriers
- 16.1%No health insurance
- 24.3%Frequent mental distress
- 39.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Green Valley
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aberdeen, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harford County average of 6.0 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 29.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 22.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24025302901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025302901?
Census tract 24025302901 in the Green Valley neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24025302901?
Median gross rent is $809/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24025302901?
44.9% of residents in tract 24025302901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,667.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24025302901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 87th, minority 72th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 24025302901 considered part of Green Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025302901 fall within Green Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24025302901 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24025302901 compare to Aberdeen overall?
Tract 24025302901 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Aberdeen at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aberdeen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aberdeen
Top eight tracts in Aberdeen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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