1 census tracts · pop 3,228 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10
· range 5.1–5.1
Chapel Hills maps to a single census tract in Aberdeen, MD and houses 3,228 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.1/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. At $2,167 a month, rents sit 59% over what the rest of Aberdeen commands.
The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. Cost burden runs 38% against 31.6% citywide, putting Chapel Hills 6.7% over its own city. 15% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. SNAP participation is 6.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity affects 8.7% of adults, 9.1 points below the national rate. The voucher gap is 10.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. That places it #5 of 5 neighborhoods in Aberdeen.
Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Robin Hood Manor and Braemar score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Chapel Hills vs AberdeenHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chapel Hills
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
8.2%Housing insecurity
5.2%Utility shutoff threat
8.7%Food insecurity
6.4%SNAP enrollment
5.7%No health insurance
23.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Chapel Hills
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Chapel Hills?
Chapel Hills scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Chapel Hills compare to Aberdeen overall?
Chapel Hills scores 0.8 points lower than Aberdeen overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,167 vs $1,363.
Q3
What is the average rent in Chapel Hills?
Average gross rent in Chapel Hills is $2,167/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Chapel Hills residents are renters?
20% of Chapel Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Aberdeen). The neighborhood has 3,228 residents.
Q5
Is Chapel Hills a high social-vulnerability area?
Chapel Hills sits in the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Chapel Hills for landlords?
Chapel Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aberdeen as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Chapel Hills?
Chapel Hills has 3,098 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.4%), Other / Multiracial (6.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
