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Neighborhood · Bel Air South, MD

Constant Branch Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,179 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 4–4

Constant Branch maps to a single census tract in Bel Air South, MD and houses 4,179 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4/10, in the Moderate tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

Cost burden runs about a quarter against 27.2% citywide, putting Constant Branch 3.7% under its own city. Among the 13 mapped neighborhoods of Bel Air South, it ranks #5 by risk, the middle third. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Grafton Heights and Country Club Park score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $1,722, close to the Bel Air South average.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $102,713.

One tract means one number: 4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Constant Branch vs Bel Air South How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
23.5% -14%
Bel Air South: 27.2%
Average gross rent
$1,722 -2%
Bel Air South: $1,757
Average HH income
$102,713 -15%
Bel Air South: $120,721
Poverty rate
3.3% -21%
Bel Air South: 4.2%
Renter share
10.1% -44%
Bel Air South: 18.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Constant Branch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4–4

Why Constant Branch scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
24% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
10% renter households · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
3.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Constant Branch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Constant Branch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.0Constant BranchNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Constant Branch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
24025301205 4 4,179 23% $1,722
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 10

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 23%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 18%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Constant Branch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Constant Branch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Constant Branch?

Constant Branch scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Constant Branch compare to Bel Air South overall?

Constant Branch scores 0.2 points lower than Bel Air South overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 24% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,722 vs $1,757.
Q3

What is the average rent in Constant Branch?

Average gross rent in Constant Branch is $1,722/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Constant Branch residents are renters?

10% of Constant Branch households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Bel Air South). The neighborhood has 4,179 residents.
Q5

Is Constant Branch a high social-vulnerability area?

Constant Branch sits in the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Constant Branch for landlords?

Constant Branch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bel Air South as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Constant Branch?

Constant Branch has 4,086 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (71.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Constant Branch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bel Air South

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Constant Branch.

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