1 census tracts · pop 3,896 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10
· range 4.1–4.1
Grafton Heights maps to a single census tract in Bel Air South, MD, population 3,896. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.1/10, Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 49%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
65% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Bel Air South rate of 27.2%. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. At $2,037 a month, rents sit 16% over what the rest of Bel Air South commands.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 7.1% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation is 5.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Among the 13 mapped neighborhoods of Bel Air South, it ranks #4 by risk, the upper third.
Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Constant Branch and Country Walk. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $97,300.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Grafton Heights vs Bel Air SouthHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority20%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport8%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Grafton Heights
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
7.1%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility shutoff threat
7.7%Food insecurity
5.7%SNAP enrollment
5.4%No health insurance
23.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Grafton Heights
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Grafton Heights?
Grafton Heights scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Grafton Heights compare to Bel Air South overall?
Grafton Heights scores 0.1 points lower than Bel Air South overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,037 vs $1,757.
Q3
What is the average rent in Grafton Heights?
Average gross rent in Grafton Heights is $2,037/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Grafton Heights residents are renters?
15% of Grafton Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Bel Air South). The neighborhood has 3,896 residents.
Q5
Is Grafton Heights a high social-vulnerability area?
Grafton Heights sits in the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Grafton Heights for landlords?
Grafton Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bel Air South as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Grafton Heights?
Grafton Heights has 3,940 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.8%), Other / Multiracial (5.2%), Hispanic / Latino (4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
