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Neighborhood · Bel Air South, MD

Grafton Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,896 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.8/10 · range 1.8–1.8

Grafton Heights is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Bel Air South with 1 census tract and a population of 3,896 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 65% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 49% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,037/month sits 16% higher than the Bel Air South citywide average ($1,757).

Risk score
1.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Grafton Heights vs Bel Air South How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
64.8% +138%
Bel Air South: 27.2%
Average gross rent
$2,037 +16%
Bel Air South: $1,757
Average HH income
$97,300 -19%
Bel Air South: $120,721
Poverty rate
3.0% -28%
Bel Air South: 4.2%
Renter share
14.6% -19%
Bel Air South: 18.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grafton Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.8–1.8

Why Grafton Heights scores 1.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
65% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
15% renter households · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
3.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

Grafton Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Grafton Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Grafton Heights: 1.81.8Grafton HeightsNeighborhoodParent city: 5.65.6Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Grafton Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24025303700 1.8 3,896 65% $2,037
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 12

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 20%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 44%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 20%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 8%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Grafton Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Grafton Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Grafton Heights?

Grafton Heights scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Grafton Heights compare to Bel Air South overall?

Grafton Heights scores 3.8 points lower than Bel Air South overall (5.6/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,037 vs $1,757.
Q3

What is the average rent in Grafton Heights?

Average gross rent in Grafton Heights is $2,037/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Grafton Heights residents are renters?

15% of Grafton Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Bel Air South). The neighborhood has 3,896 residents.
Q5

Is Grafton Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Grafton Heights sits in the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Grafton Heights for landlords?

Grafton Heights carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bel Air South as a whole (5.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Grafton Heights?

Grafton Heights has 3,940 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.8%), Other / Multiracial (5.2%), Hispanic / Latino (4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grafton Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bel Air South

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grafton Heights.

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