Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Alta Vista Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethesda
Tract 24031704503 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,003 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
24031704503 is a census tract in the Alta Vista Terrace area of Bethesda, MD. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,003. Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 13% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%Stable renters 6%Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,385
Renter share6.8%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Alta Vista Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
41th percentile
#11 of 18 tracts In Bethesda
Moderate
Within county
38th percentile
#144 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
54th percentile
#676 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethesda and the region
Centroid at 39.0066, -77.1191 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alta Vista Terrace scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethesda
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethesda
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethesda
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethesda
4.2
How Alta Vista Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
4%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
52%Racial/ethnic minority
12%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
5.6%Housing insecurity
3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
5.7%Food insecurity
3.3%SNAP enrollment
3.4%Transit barriers
4.5%No health insurance
10.7%Frequent mental distress
17.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alta Vista Terrace
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Average gross rent is $3,501, 42% above the Bethesda average. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.8/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
Disability prevalence runs 17.1% against 31.5% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 5.6% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $250,001, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031704503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031704503?
Census tract 24031704503 in the Alta Vista Terrace neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031704503?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031704503?
3.5% of residents in tract 24031704503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,003.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031704503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 63th, minority 52th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 24031704503 considered part of Alta Vista Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031704503 fall within Alta Vista Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031704503 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031704503 compare to Bethesda overall?
Tract 24031704503 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Bethesda at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethesda
Top eight tracts in Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.