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Neighborhood · Bethesda, MD

South Bethesda Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,991 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.8–5.8

South Bethesda maps to a single census tract in Bethesda, MD, population 3,991. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.8/10, in the Moderate tier. 51% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Bethesda rate of 28.7%.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 27%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. At $1,930 a month, rents sit 22% under what the rest of Bethesda commands. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.4/10.

Disability prevalence reaches 17.2% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Food insecurity affects 7.3% of adults, 10.5 points below the national rate.

That places it #6 of 17 neighborhoods in Bethesda. The closest comparables inside the same city are Green Tree Manor and Kenwood.

Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 5.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
South Bethesda vs Bethesda How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.0% +78%
Bethesda: 28.7%
Average gross rent
$1,930 -22%
Bethesda: $2,469
Average HH income
$121,375 -37%
Bethesda: $191,348
Poverty rate
4.0% +1%
Bethesda: 4.0%
Renter share
65.1% +81%
Bethesda: 36.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Bethesda and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.8–5.8

Why South Bethesda scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
65% renter households · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
4.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

South Bethesda vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Bethesda score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.8South BethesdaNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in South Bethesda

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031704803 5.8 3,991 51% $1,930
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 46

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 27%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Bethesda

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Bethesda

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Bethesda?

South Bethesda scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Bethesda compare to Bethesda overall?

South Bethesda scores 0.5 points lower than Bethesda overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,930 vs $2,469.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Bethesda?

Average gross rent in South Bethesda eviction risk is $1,930/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Bethesda residents are renters?

65% of South Bethesda households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Bethesda). The neighborhood has 3,991 residents.
Q5

Is South Bethesda a high social-vulnerability area?

South Bethesda sits in the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is South Bethesda for landlords?

South Bethesda eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethesda as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of South Bethesda?

South Bethesda has 4,494 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Bethesda

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bethesda

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Bethesda.

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