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Neighborhood · Potomac, MD

Bells Mill Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,005 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Bells Mill is a one-tract neighborhood of Potomac, MD, population 3,005. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.9/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Potomac baseline of 27.3%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 3.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That places it #3 of 10 neighborhoods in Potomac.

Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bells Mill vs Potomac How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.3% +59%
Potomac: 27.3%
Average gross rent
$0 -100%
Potomac: $2,887
Average HH income
$200,278 -16%
Potomac: $239,205
Poverty rate
2.2% -40%
Potomac: 3.7%
Renter share
18.0% +18%
Potomac: 15.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bells Mill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Bells Mill scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Economic stress
2.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Bells Mill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bells Mill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9Bells MillNeighborhood5.8Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Bells Mill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031706010 4.9 3,005 43% ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 18

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 2%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 92%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bells Mill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bells Mill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bells Mill?

Bells Mill scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bells Mill compare to Potomac overall?

Bells Mill scores 0.9 points lower than Potomac overall (5.8/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 27% citywide.
Q3

What percentage of Bells Mill residents are renters?

18% of Bells Mill households are renter-occupied (vs 15% in Potomac). The neighborhood has 3,005 residents.
Q4

Is Bells Mill a high social-vulnerability area?

Bells Mill sits in the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q5

How safe is Bells Mill for landlords?

Bells Mill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Potomac as a whole (5.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q6

What is the demographic breakdown of Bells Mill?

Bells Mill has 2,935 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (23.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bells Mill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Potomac

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bells Mill.

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