Neighborhood · Fairland, MD

Green Castle Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,579 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.7–5.1

Green Castle Lakes is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Fairland with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,579 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 63% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 41% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,825/month sits 4% lower than the Fairland citywide average ($1,894).

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Green Castle Lakes vs Fairland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

63.1% +89%

Fairland: 33.3%

Average gross rent

$1,825 -4%

Fairland: $1,894

Average HH income

$78,353 -11%

Fairland: $87,924

Poverty rate

13.2% +31%

Fairland: 10.1%

Renter share

67.2% +24%

Fairland: 54.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Green Castle Lakes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.7–5.1

Why Green Castle Lakes scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

63% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Tenant organizing strength

67% renter households · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts

9.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Economic stress

13.2% below poverty line · Range 3.2–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–3.0 across tracts

2.9

Risk score comparison

Green Castle Lakes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Green Castle Lakes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24031701422	5.1	2,711	77%	$1,768
24031701423	4.7	5,868	57%	$1,852

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 74%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 62%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Green Castle Lakes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

21.4%Housing insecurity
13.4%Utility shutoff threat
23.6%Food insecurity
19.1%SNAP enrollment
10.5%No health insurance
25.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Green Castle Lakes

What is the eviction-risk score for Green Castle Lakes?

Green Castle Lakes scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Green Castle Lakes compare to Fairland overall?

Green Castle Lakes scores 1.5 points lower than Fairland overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,825 vs $1,894.

What is the average rent in Green Castle Lakes?

Average gross rent in Green Castle Lakes is $1,825/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Green Castle Lakes residents are renters?

67% of Green Castle Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Fairland). The neighborhood has 8,579 residents.

Is Green Castle Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?

Green Castle Lakes sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Green Castle Lakes have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Green Castle Lakes is census tract 24031701422 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 5.1, a spread of 0.4 points.

How safe is Green Castle Lakes for landlords?

Green Castle Lakes carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fairland as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Green Castle Lakes?

Green Castle Lakes has 8,271 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (66.4%), Hispanic / Latino (16%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Green Castle Lakes

3.2 Fairland Heights 2 tracts · pop 10,799 3.1 Rolling Acres 2 tracts · pop 7,667 3 Layhill South 2 tracts · pop 10,690 1.8 Northwood Park 2 tracts · pop 8,348 3.6 Willson Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,822 3.8 Harmony Hills 2 tracts · pop 11,932

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fairland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Green Castle Lakes.

4.9 Greencastle Manor 1 tracts · pop 6,459

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