2 census tracts · pop 8,579 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.3/10
· range 8.3–8.3
Green Castle Lakes spans 2 census tracts of Fairland, MD and houses 8,579 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8.3/10, in the High tier. The severe-burden share is 41%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Cost burden runs 63% against 33.3% citywide, putting Green Castle Lakes 29.8% over its own city. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. This is a renter market: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.1% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.9/10.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
Average gross rent runs $1,825, close to the Fairland average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $78,353.
With little internal variation, 8.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
8.3
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Green Castle Lakes vs FairlandHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Green Castle Lakes
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
21.4%Housing insecurity
13.4%Utility shutoff threat
23.6%Food insecurity
19.1%SNAP enrollment
10.5%No health insurance
25.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Green Castle Lakes
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Green Castle Lakes?
Green Castle Lakes scores 8.3/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Green Castle Lakes compare to Fairland overall?
Green Castle Lakes scores 1.4 points higher than Fairland overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,825 vs $1,894.
Q3
What is the average rent in Green Castle Lakes?
Average gross rent in Green Castle Lakes is $1,825/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Green Castle Lakes residents are renters?
67% of Green Castle Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Fairland). The neighborhood has 8,579 residents.
Q5
Is Green Castle Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?
Green Castle Lakes sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Green Castle Lakes have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Green Castle Lakes is census tract 24031701423 (score 8.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.3 to 8.3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Green Castle Lakes for landlords?
Green Castle Lakes carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fairland as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Green Castle Lakes?
Green Castle Lakes has 8,271 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (66.4%), Hispanic / Latino (16%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
