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Cabin John, Maryland eviction risk overview
City brief · 2,179 residents

Cabin John, MD Eviction Risk: HIGH

Montgomery County · Population 2,179

In 2026
Risk score
7.5
HIGH

61th percentile, Maryland.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.1 Average2.5 Now7.5
10 5 1976 · score 1.2 1977 · score 1.2 1978 · score 1.2 1979 · score 1.3 1980 · score 1.3 1981 · score 1.3 1982 · score 1.4 1983 · score 1.3 1984 · score 1.1 1985 · score 1.2 1986 · score 1.2 1987 · score 1.2 1988 · score 1.2 1989 · score 1.3 1990 · score 1.3 1991 · score 1.3 1992 · score 1.8 1993 · score 1.8 1994 · score 1.8 1995 · score 1.8 1996 · score 1.9 1997 · score 2.0 1998 · score 2.0 1999 · score 2.1 2000 · score 1.9 2001 · score 2.0 2002 · score 2.1 2003 · score 2.1 2004 · score 2.1 2005 · score 2.2 2006 · score 2.2 2007 · score 2.3 2008 · score 2.9 2009 · score 3.0 2010 · score 3.0 2011 · score 3.1 2012 · score 3.1 2013 · score 3.2 2014 · score 3.2 2015 · score 3.3 2016 · score 3.6 2017 · score 3.8 2018 · score 3.9 2019 · score 4.1 2020 · score 4.8 2021 · score 4.8 2022 · score 4.7 2023 · score 4.8 2024 · score 4.6 2025 · score 6.0 2026 · score 7.5

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from county average, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 8.2 Regional 8.2 State 5.7 Economic 1.4 Supply 2.1 Rent Control 4.8 Eviction 5.8 Tenant 2.1 Housing 4.2 7.5 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +53.3% (2024)
    8.2
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    8.2
  3. State political climate
    Maryland legislature & governorship
    5.7
  4. Economic stress
    0.1% poverty · 4.7% unemp.
    1.4
  5. Supply constraint
    $3,501 average · 4.9% renters
    2.1
  6. Rent Control risk
    22.5% of income on rent
    4.8
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    145 days filing → judgment
    5.8
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    4.9% renters
    2.1
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    4.2
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cabin John and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Cabin John compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Montgomery County
Very Low
#47 of 56 cities
Rank in county, 16th percentileBottomTop
#47 of 56 cities in Montgomery County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Maryland
Elevated
#213 of 532 cities
Rank in state, 60th percentileBottomTop
#213 of 532 cities in Maryland for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Cabin John risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Cabin John: 7.57.5Cabin JohnThis cityCounty: 7.97.9Countyavg in countyState: 7.87.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 7.5
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 7.5/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+6.3 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 145d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $3,501/mo. A contested eviction takes 145 days and costs $6,782-$17,053 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 4.9%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 2,179 residents, 4.9% rent. 23% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 0.1% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 8.2
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Strong-tenant coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 8.2 and 8.2 (Dem margin +53.3% (2024)). State climate at 5.7, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 5.7
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 5.7/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 5.8, housing court bias 4.2, rent-control risk 4.8. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +0.8 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 1.4
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 1.4. Supply constraint: 2.1. The numbers behind those: 0.1% poverty, 4.7% unemployment, 23% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Cabin John sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Baltimore, MD · 147d · ~$11.8k all-in ($80/day) · score 8.5 Baltimore Columbia, MD · 136d · ~$11.5k all-in ($85/day) · score 7.7 Columbia Germantown, MD · 153d · ~$11.8k all-in ($77/day) · score 8 Germantown Frederick, MD · 147d · ~$10.1k all-in ($69/day) · score 6.9 Frederick Waldorf, MD · 143d · ~$12.4k all-in ($87/day) · score 7.5 Waldorf Silver Spring, MD · 147d · ~$11.0k all-in ($75/day) · score 8 Silver Spring Ellicott City, MD · 143d · ~$11.1k all-in ($78/day) · score 7.3 Ellicott City Glen Burnie, MD · 157d · ~$11.7k all-in ($75/day) · score 7.9 Glen Burnie Gaithersburg, MD · 145d · ~$10.8k all-in ($74/day) · score 8.2 Gaithersburg Bethesda, MD · 143d · ~$11.8k all-in ($83/day) · score 8.1 Bethesda Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Cabin John
Cabin John · 145d · ~$11.9k all-in ($82/day) · score 7.5 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Cabin John, MD

Landlording in Cabin John, Maryland, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.5/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Cabin John is a city of 2,179 residents where 4.9% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 22.5% of income on rent. At an average rent of $3,501/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Cabin John eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 5.8/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Cabin John closes 145 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Cabin John's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 4.2/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Cabin John runs $6,782 to $17,053 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 145 days of typical timeline and $3,501/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2.1/10 in Cabin John, and the city has limited rent control exposure (4.8/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Maryland, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Cabin John: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Maryland's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $17,053 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Cabin John

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Compare Cabin John to neighboring cities in Montgomery County via the grid below. The 6/10 score is computed from nine sub-factors plus a state-law multiplier under Real Property 8-401. Montgomery County 2020 presidential margin: D+59.6. Cross-reference the state overview link in the guides section for Maryland statutory detail.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I turn off utilities if my Cabin John tenant doesn't pay rent?

Absolutely not. Turning off utilities, changing locks, or removing a tenant's belongings are illegal "self-help" eviction tactics in Maryland. You can face severe penalties, including fines and being liable for damages to the tenant. Always follow the proper legal eviction process through the courts.

Q2

How much notice do I need to give to increase rent in Cabin John?

For month-to-month tenancies in Maryland, you generally need to give at least 30 days' written notice before raising rent. If your lease has a fixed term, you cannot raise the rent until the lease term expires, unless the lease specifically allows for it. Always check your lease and local Montgomery County ordinances for any additional requirements.

Q3

What if my tenant claims a maintenance issue to avoid paying rent?

Tenants in Maryland can sometimes use "rent escrow" if you fail to make necessary repairs. This means they pay their rent into a court-supervised account instead of directly to you. To avoid this, address legitimate maintenance issues promptly and in writing. Keep records of all repair requests and your responses. If a tenant is withholding rent without a valid court order, it's still non-payment, and you can proceed with the 10-day notice.

Q4

Can I charge late fees for overdue rent in Cabin John?

Yes, Maryland law allows for late fees. The maximum late fee you can charge is 5% of the monthly rent. This must be clearly stated in your lease agreement. You can only charge a late fee if the rent is not paid by the date specified in the lease, typically after a grace period of a few days.

Q5

Is "cash for keys" a legal option in Maryland?

Yes, "cash for keys" is a legal and often effective strategy in Maryland. It's a voluntary agreement where you offer the tenant money to vacate the property by a certain date and leave it in good condition. It can save you months of lost rent and thousands in legal fees compared to a contested eviction. Always put the agreement in writing and have both parties sign it.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 7.5/10 places Cabin John in the 61st percentile of Maryland cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.