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Neighborhood · Fairland, MD

Greencastle Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,459 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Greencastle Manor is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Fairland with 1 census tract and a population of 6,459 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,872/month sits 1% lower than the Fairland citywide average ($1,894).

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Greencastle Manor vs Fairland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.6% +82%
Fairland: 33.3%
Average gross rent
$1,872 -1%
Fairland: $1,894
Average HH income
$78,427 -11%
Fairland: $87,924
Poverty rate
14.3% +41%
Fairland: 10.1%
Renter share
73.2% +35%
Fairland: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Greencastle Manor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Greencastle Manor scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
73% renter households · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts
9.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Economic stress
14.3% below poverty line · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Greencastle Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Greencastle Manor score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Greencastle Manor: 4.94.9Greencastle ManorNeighborhoodParent city: 6.36.3Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Greencastle Manor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031701417 4.9 6,459 61% $1,872
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 72

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 64%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 84%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Greencastle Manor

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Greencastle Manor

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Greencastle Manor?

Greencastle Manor scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Greencastle Manor compare to Fairland overall?

Greencastle Manor scores 1.4 points lower than Fairland overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,872 vs $1,894.
Q3

What is the average rent in Greencastle Manor?

Average gross rent in Greencastle Manor is $1,872/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Greencastle Manor residents are renters?

73% of Greencastle Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Fairland). The neighborhood has 6,459 residents.
Q5

Is Greencastle Manor a high social-vulnerability area?

Greencastle Manor sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Greencastle Manor for landlords?

Greencastle Manor carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fairland as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Greencastle Manor?

Greencastle Manor has 6,677 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (65.7%), Hispanic / Latino (10.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Greencastle Manor

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fairland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Greencastle Manor.

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