1 census tracts · pop 6,459 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.3/10
· range 8.3–8.3
Greencastle Manor maps to a single census tract in Fairland, MD, population 6,459. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.3/10, in the High tier. 61% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Fairland rate of 33.3%.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. The severe-burden share is 29%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Average gross rent runs $1,872, close to the Fairland average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $78,427.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 8.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
8.3
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Greencastle Manor vs FairlandHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Greencastle Manor
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
20.1%Housing insecurity
12.6%Utility shutoff threat
22.6%Food insecurity
18.4%SNAP enrollment
10.4%No health insurance
24.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Greencastle Manor
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Greencastle Manor?
Greencastle Manor scores 8.3/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Greencastle Manor compare to Fairland overall?
Greencastle Manor scores 1.4 points higher than Fairland overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,872 vs $1,894.
Q3
What is the average rent in Greencastle Manor?
Average gross rent in Greencastle Manor is $1,872/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Greencastle Manor residents are renters?
73% of Greencastle Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Fairland). The neighborhood has 6,459 residents.
Q5
Is Greencastle Manor a high social-vulnerability area?
Greencastle Manor sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Greencastle Manor for landlords?
Greencastle Manor carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fairland as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Greencastle Manor?
Greencastle Manor has 6,677 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (65.7%), Hispanic / Latino (10.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.